With events in the Middle East and Africa boosting oil prices, some economic watchers are beginning to talk about the possibility of stagflation: a period in which both inflation and unemployment are high. Like the 1970s in the U.S., the time of “malaise,” lines at the gas pump, and strong performance of dividend stocks. According to John Schloegel, portfolio manager at CORDA Investment Management, during the stagflation of the 1970s, 70% of the total stock market return for the decade came from dividends, only 30% from price appreciation. Even without that bad brew, dividends pack a punch, he says: Over the longer run 40-45% of total stock returns can be attributed to dividends. (more…)
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